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Visual Guides/ROC Curves & AUC: Threshold Tuning
Machine Learning

ROC Curves & AUC: Threshold Tuning Visualized

The ROC curve shows every possible tradeoff between false positive rate and true positive rate. The AUC summarizes overall performance in a single number. Drag the threshold and compare models.

Exploration Progress1/3 models · 0/5 threshold changes

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ROC CurveFPR → x axis · TPR → y axisthreshold = 0.50
000.250.250.50.50.750.7511randomFalse Positive Rate (FPR)True Positive Rate (TPR)AUC = 0.999TPR=0.99 FPR=0.03
Score Distribution· Excellent
threshold=0.50■ Positive class■ Negative class

Models (click to toggle)

Threshold

0.50
TPR (Recall)0.993
FPR0.031

AUC Summary

excellent0.999
good0.852
random0.503
poor0.747
AUC = 0.5 → random · AUC = 1.0 → perfect

Key Insight

AUC is the probability that the model ranks a random positive sample higher than a random negative. It's threshold-independent: a single number for the entire curve.

Caveat: with heavily imbalanced classes, ROC curves can look deceptively good because FPR is diluted by the large negative class. Precision-recall curves are often more informative there. See the class imbalance guide.

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